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Thesis check

Is your reason for owning it still true?

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Your thesis

Microsoft's AI capex keeps rising, and that will keep lifting its cloud margins.

MSFTChecking…

Verdict

Mixed

  • AI capex keeps risingHoldsCapex $115.9B, up 79.6% (10‑K)
  • Capex lifts cloud marginsBreakingCloud costs +44.1% vs revenue +29.7% (10‑K)
  • Azure demand absorbs itUnclearAzure +43%, but capacity is constrained
“Microsoft Azure is exploring potential cost reductions of at least 20%… to offset heavy infrastructure investments.”
News, Oct 13, 2026 · counts against the margin claim
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